Back in December 2008, for posterity, I relayed to you the Met Office’s assurance that 2009 would be one of the warmest on record.
But long range forecasts suggest that next year will be among the warmest.
The average global temperature is expected to be more than 32.7F (0.4C) above the long term average, making next year warmer than this year and the hottest since 2005, researchers from the Met Office and the University of East Anglia said.
They issued a press release in April 2009 confirming their earlier prediction.
The coming summer is ‘odds on for a barbecue summer’, according to long-range forecasts. Summer temperatures across the UK are likely to be warmer than average and rainfall near or below average for the three months of summer.
Chief Meteorologist at the Met Office, Ewen McCallum, said: “After two disappointingly-wet summers, the signs are much more promising this year. We can expect times when temperatures will be above 30 °C, something we hardly saw at all last year.”
Well, now they’ve annouced that this will (no shit motherfucking Sherlock) no longer transpire. Perhaps ermbarassed? Apologetic? Contrite?
The Met Office refused to apologise today after admitting that the “barbecue summer” they had predicted was no longer likely.
As rain lashed down on most of Britain, a revised forecast was published suggesting that the weather in August would be changeable with more rain as well as sunny periods.
The revised forecast will come as an embarrassment to the Met Office who published a press release in April detailing news of a hot summer. Ewen McCallum, the chief meteorologist, said the wet summers of 2007 and 2008 were highly unlikely to be repeated.
“This year will be much drier than normal,” he predicted. “Get the BBQ out. Probably with spells of weather with the temperature reaching 30 degrees Celsius.”
Philip Eden, vice president of the Royal Meteorological Society, criticised the Met Office for publicising such an optimistic prediction when they had relatively little evidence of how the summer would unfold.
“The key is that these are experimental forecasts. That’s fine by me – it’s exactly what they should be doing,” he told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme:
“They should be doing research into long-range forecasts. The problem is that we don’t actually know very much about the forcing factors, the outside influences which affect the weather during a period of, say, a month or three months ahead.
“The big problem with these forecasts was the spin that was put on it by the Met Office’s press office – the ’barbecue summer’ bit.”
He pointed out that the wording of the forecast was actually “unambitious” and had a “very wide target”. “They simply predicted that temperatures for the summer quarter would be above average,” he said.
The Times imply that Gordo was behind this piece of distracting “barbecue summer” bollox. Which is just fucking typical.
Put a team into the met office. Sack all the AGW true believers. Break it up and sell it off to the private sector.
Why am I paying for any of these dicks?